All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Tim Tawa | OVER 0.5 RBI (+362)
Projection: 26% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.04 EV
Nicky Lopez | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+125)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.46 EV
Coby Mayo | UNDER 0.5 H (+144)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.80 EV
Jake McCarthy | UNDER 1.5 TB (-103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.26 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Brayan Bello | OVER 2.5 K (+134)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $44.45 EV
Tarik Skubal | OVER 7.5 K (+101)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.05 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 4.5 K (-162)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.15 EV
Jose Soriano | UNDER 2.5 ER (-157)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.58 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
San Diego Padres Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Padres have gone over this total in 10 straight games. (+10.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -107
Texas Rangers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Over:
The Rangers have gone over the team total in first five innings in six straight games. (+6.25 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -135
Toronto Blue Jays 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Under:
The Blue Jays have gone under the team total in first five innings in five straight road games. (+5.10 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +110
Athletics Team Total Under:
The Athletics have gone under the total in five straight road games. (+5.10 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -135
