All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Andrew Vaughn | OVER 0.5 HR (+980)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.98 EV
William Contreras | OVER 0.5 HR (+720)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.88 EV
Jonah Cox | OVER 0.5 RBI (+336)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.79 EV
Spencer Torkelson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+256)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.03 EV
Nicky Lopez | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+130)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.91 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Chase Burns | UNDER 3.5 K (+106)
Projection: 81% chance of this bet hitting, with a $67.62 EV
Chase Burns | OVER 1.5 ER (+108)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.67 EV
Cade Cavalli | UNDER 6.5 K (-123)
Projection: 77% chance of this bet hitting, with a $48.73 EV
Grayson Rodriguez | OVER 4.5 K (-108)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.29 EV
Connor Prielipp | OVER 5.5 K (-118)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.02 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Kansas City Royals Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Royals have gone under this total 11 straight times. (+11.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -114
San Diego Padres 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Padres have won this bet in eight consecutive contests. (+8.10 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -135
Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Cubs have won this bet in six consecutive contests. (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI). Current odds: -120
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline:
The Dodgers are seeking to extend their seven-game home winning streak. (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI). Current odds: -312
