All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Shea Langeliers | OVER 0.5 HR (+610)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.09 EV
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+860)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.46 EV
Heriberto Hernandez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+214)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.25 EV
Nico Hoerner | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+115)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.28 EV
Henry Davis | OVER 0.5 H+R+RBI (-126)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.45 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Corbin Burnes | OVER 4.5 K (-104)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $33.29 EV
Martin Perez | OVER 3.5 K (+108)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.12 EV
Jacob deGrom | UNDER 1.5 ER (+105)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.44 EV
Quinn Mathews | UNDER 5.5 K (-132)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.30 EV
Patrick Sandoval | UNDER 2.5 ER (-127)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.12 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
San Diego Padres Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Padres have gone over this total 11 straight times. (+11.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -105
Texas Rangers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
Texas has gone over this total in seven straight contests. (+7.25 Units / 79% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +105
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total UNDER:
The Phillies have gone under this total in five consecutive road games. (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120
Baltimore Orioles Run Line:
Baltimore has won this bet in five straight games. (+5.55 Units / 72% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -105
