We're into Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season, the playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LX are starting to come into view. Good teams have become great, bad teams keep finding ways to surprise us, and the race for wild-card spots is only getting wilder. Which teams have the best chances to make the 14-team playoff field? Which still have work to do to ultimately get in?
We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch its division and even make the Super Bowl. And we also have projected seeds.
Here's everything you need right now.
Last update: Dec. 5 at 7:45 a.m. ET
Jump to:
AFC picture | NFC picture
AFC seeds | NFC seeds
Projecting the AFC playoff field
The Titans and Raiders are officially eliminated from playoff contention, which makes the AFC South and AFC West three-horse races ahead of Week 14. In the South, the Texans pulled off a big Week 13 win over the Colts in C.J. Stroud's first game back from a concussion (and moved to a four-game win streak), while the Jaguars enjoyed a great performance from Trevor Lawrence (229 passing yards and two passing touchdowns) beating Tennessee 25-3.
The Chiefs' loss to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving plummeted their playoff chances, one week after they tried to right the ship with an overtime win over Indy. They now get the Texans in Week 14.
Projecting the NFC playoff field
The Lions kicked off Week 14 with a win over the Cowboys on Thursday, pushing them to 8-5 and improving their chances of making the playoffs. But it's the Bears riding high on top of the NFC, after Chicago beat the reigning champion Eagles in Week 13.
Meanwhile, the NFC West race keeps getting tighter, as the Rams fell to the Panthers in a wild game, with Matthew Stafford throwing two interceptions after throwing just two during the first 12 weeks of the season. The 49ers and Seahawks both pulled out dominating wins against the Browns and Vikings, respectively, as the Niners head into their bye and the Seahawks prepare for the fourth-hardest remaining schedule in the NFC.
The Saints and Cardinals were eliminated from playoff contention in Week 13, joining the Giants.
Projecting the AFC playoff seedings
It appears the race for the No. 1 seed will come down to the Patriots and Broncos, but things get interesting from there.
Projecting the NFC playoff seedings
The Bears might be the 1-seed in the NFC in the standings, but our projections say four teams have a better chance of ultimately getting the first-round bye.
NFL playoff schedule
Jan. 10-12, 2026: Wild-card round
Jan. 17-18: Divisional round
Jan. 25: AFC and NFC championship games
Feb. 8: Super Bowl LX (in Santa Clara, California)
